Solvency and Liquidity Analysis: How Deteriorating Solvency Ultimately Leads To Bankruptcy

A financially healthy company tries to maintain its solvency and liquidity at all times. Solvency is the ability to meet long-term debt obligations, and liquidity takes care of short-term debt obligations.

What do we mean by debt obligations? It is the due amount payable against a loan. It consists of both the principal and interest portions of the loan.

A loan taken for a tenure of more than one year becomes a long-term debt obligation. Similarly, a loan taken for a one-year or less period becomes a short-term debt obligation.

It is essential to have a clearer understanding of long-term vs. short-term debt to get a better perspective of solvency and liquidity. So allow me to explain it with an example.

Long-term and Short-term Debt Obligation

Solvency and Liquidity - Short-term and long term obligation

The data set shown above is the payment schedule of a loan taken by the company. The loan is worth Rs.5 lakh taken for seven years at 11% per annum interest. As the loan tenure is more than one year (7 years), its treatment will be like a long-term obligation.

But the portion of the loan (interest & principal) which is due in the first year of loan issuance (Between Jan’21 and Dec’21), will be treated as a short-term obligation.

To understand the finer details, the split between short and long-term obligations changes every month. All principals and interests payable in the next 12 months, from the current date, are treated as a short-term obligation. Hence, every passing month the values change.

So the accountant of the company updates the value of short-term and long-term payables every month.

Solvency and liquidity

Now that we have understood the concept of short-term and long-term debt, it will further enhance our understanding of solvency and liquidity. Check the below infographics.

Solvency and Liquidity - explain as a split between long and short term obligation of debt

The visualization of liquidity and solvency as shown above is useful. Why? Because it highlights two important cash-flows (outflow) that companies must manage to stay afloat (short and long-term debt obligations). Needless to say that, debt-free companies do not worry about these two cash flows. Though they still need to manage liquidity and solvency.

Liquidity

Liquidity is not only about the payment of short-term debt. A company’s liquidity is measured by its ability to pay all current liabilities, which also includes short-term debt.

Now, what enables a company to pay its current liabilities? It is their current assets. Current liabilities are such expenses that will become due for payment within the next 12 months. How to pay for it? Using cash. From where this cash will come? Current assets are such assets that are likely to become cash within the next 12 months.

A list of few common current assets and current liabilities are shown in the below infographics.

Liquidity - current asset vs current liability

Liquidity management is the key but not the ultimate goal

It is said that liquidity is a lifeline for any company. Till the company is able to issue the salaries, vendor payments, taxes, debt repayments, etc, it will continue to survive. This is the reason why so much focus remains on dispatch, billing and collections.

Till the company is collecting dues from its customers, it can pay its employees, vendors, bank loans, the government, utility bills, and other due overheads. This way the company can survive till eternity. This is a fact.

But it is also true that only liquidity management is not enough. Allow me to explain it with an example.

Example

A company is due to issue salaries worth Rs.2.2 crore next month. It also has unavoidable vendor payments worth Rs.11 crore. Loan repayment worth Rs.20 lakhs will also be due. All in all, the total unavoidable current liability /cash out-flow for the next month is Rs.13.4 Crore.

The company has a net bank balance (cash) of Rs.3.2 crore. It is sure to receive payments worth Rs.10 crore from its customers this month. Hence, by the end of this week, its cash reserve in the bank will be Rs.13.2 crore.

There is still a shortfall of Rs.20 lakhs. To manage this cash flow requirement, the company takes a short-term loan from the bank.

Current asset vs. current liability comparison
Liquidity - deficit between current asset vs current liability

This form of cash flow management is common and acceptable. But such a pattern becomes a problem when the company is not sure of its future cash-inflows. In the above example, the company was sure to receive at least Rs.10 crore from its customers. For many companies, such certainty of cash-inflow is absent.

In such a case, the company begins to take long-term loans (regularly) to manage working capital needs. This will become a big problem in times to come.

By doing so, the company is saving itself today for future peril.

Probably this is what happened to cash-strapped, now/once dead companies, like Future Retail, Jet Airways, Kingfisher, Gitanjali Gems, Essar Steel, Bhushan Steel, Bhushan Power, Lanco, Reliance Communication, DHFL, etc.

To an extent, the downfall of such companies can also be accounted to poor or unethical management. But mostly, it all starts with the negative cash-flows and continues to end as a disaster.

Often companies hide their weakness by managing their short-term cash flow needs (using loans). This way they project themselves as cash-rich (liquid).

Is there any way to catch such companies beforehand? Yes, this is where Solvency analysis comes into the picture.

One can use financial ratios to do the liquidity analysis of companies. Check this article to know more about liquidity ratios.

Solvency

Most of the time, if the financial ratios are showing that the company is liquid, it’s a sign of good financial health. But for some companies, liquidity and solvency analysis might result in different interpretation about the company.

There are companies whose liquidity levels are good, but they are living under the threat of insolvency. Why? Because they are debt-ridden.

How to identify companies which are living under the threat of insolvency?

Insolvency is the ultimate state where the company is not able to meet any financial obligations. They cannot even pay salaries, vendor payments, taxes, etc. Yes, an insolvent company will eventually become illiquid. Why? Because banks will no longer issue them loans. Even overdrafts will not be allowed in their bank accounts.

Till the time the company reaches the state of insolvency, they manage to remain liquid by borrowing loans from banks. But when debt load becomes excess, solvency ratios are too high, even lenders refuse to give them loans.

What are the signs that a company is reaching the state of insolvency? Check these three solvency ratios which provide a decent measure of solvency. The asset coverage ratio is also a great ratio to judge the company’s solvency.

Few More Insights…

To judge the overall financial health of a company, experts always include solvency and liquidity ratios in their analysis. Why to do both? Because we have seen examples of companies that showed no signs of liquidity crunch till they became insolvent.

Such companies did not reach the point of insolvency suddenly. They reached their gradually over time. Checking their past solvency ratios will prove that.

Looking at a year’s solvency ratio of a company is not as useful. Better is to compare these ratios with that of its competing companies. Moreover, a trend analysis of solvency and liquidity ratios will give an even deeper understanding. Deteriorating solvency and/or liquidity ratios year on year is a clear sign of poor financial health.

Example: Jet Airways

We remember the problem years of Jet Airways as 2017-2018. Why? Because during this time, the Airline closed its operations. But if we will see its balance sheet, the possibility of future failure was visible in the year 2009 itself.

See how the shareholders’ funds of the company were decreasing from Rs.3,157 Cr. to Rs.1,181 Cr. between years 2009 and 2012. In year 2013, the shareholder’s funds eventually became negative. A negative shareholders equity is one of the most visible indicators of insolvency. But see, it did not happen in a day. The company was showing signs of it long before.

You can even see the debt to equity (D/E) ratio. Between the years 2009 and 2012, the D/E ratio rose from 3.74 to 7.43. In the same period see the company’s Debt to Asset (D/A) ratio was hovering between 0.54 to 0.62. These numbers are an indicator that about 60% of the company’s assets are funded using debt.

It is amazing how investors were still buying shares to this company.

Conclusion

A company can face a temporary liquidity problem. But it can sail out of it if it maintains healthy solvency ratios. How? Because banks will be more than eager to lend money to such companies. If not, the company still has the option of keeping its “tangibe assets” as collateral for borrowing.

Hence, maintaining liquidity is necessary but to remain afloat for the long term, a company must give extra care to remain solvent at all times.

Have a happy investing.

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Hi. I’m Mani, I’m an Engineering graduate who in pursuit of financial independence, has converted into a full time blogger. After working in the corporate world for almost 16+ years, I bid it adieu....read more

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